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According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in January next year is 88.8%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 11.2%. The probability of maintaining current interest rates unchanged by March next year is 49.7%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 45.3%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 4.9%.
According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged in January next year is 88.8%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 11.2%. The probability of maintaining current interest rates unchanged by March next year is 46.2%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 48.4%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 5.4%.
According to CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in January next year is 89.3%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 10.7%. The probability of maintaining current interest rates unchanged by March next year is 51.8%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 43.7%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 4.5%. (Jin Ten)
According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will maintain interest rates unchanged in January next year is 87.2%, and the probability of reducing interest rates by 25 basis points is 12.8%. The probability of maintaining current interest rates unchanged by March next year is 50.6%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 44.1%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 5.4%.
According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in January next year is 91.4%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 8.6%. The probability of maintaining current interest rates unchanged by March next year is 52.1%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 44.2%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 3.7%.
According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will maintain interest rates unchanged in January next year is 91.4%, and the probability of reducing interest rates by 25 basis points is 8.6%. The probability of maintaining current interest rates unchanged by March next year is 52.1%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 44.2%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 3.7%.
According to CME Federal Reserve observation data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 8.6%, and the probability of remaining unchanged is 91.4%.
According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will maintain interest rates unchanged in January next year is 91.4%, and the probability of reducing interest rates by 25 basis points is 8.6%. The probability of maintaining current interest rates unchanged by March next year is 54.9%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 41.7%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 3.4%.
According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will maintain interest rates unchanged in January next year is 91.4%, and the probability of reducing interest rates by 25 basis points is 8.6%. The probability of maintaining current interest rates unchanged by March next year is 53%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 43.4%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 3.6%.
After the release of US economic data, traders increased their bets on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates next year, and US short-term interest rate futures narrowed earlier losses.
Traders cut their bets on the Fed cutting rates next year, expecting a 100 basis point cut by next September.
Markets expect the Fed to cut rates by 200 basis points by June next year. BlackRock said: "We think this is overdone and could trigger more drastic pricing changes as markets vacillate between very different potential outcomes."
